Following President Joe Biden’s decision to withdraw from the 2024 presidential race and endorse Vice President Kamala Harris, recent polls have evaluated Harris’ position against former President Donald Trump. The data shows a complex picture of her candidacy.
A Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos poll conducted earlier this month indicates that 70% of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents would be satisfied with Harris as the Democratic nominee. This is supported by a range of polls showing Harris performing comparably to or slightly better than Biden in hypothetical match-ups against Trump. For example, a New York Times poll in Pennsylvania and Virginia revealed Harris leading or performing similarly to Biden.
However, other polls present a less favorable view. A CNN survey shows Trump with a slight edge over Harris, with a 47% to 45% margin that falls within the margin of error. This suggests that while Harris may be a strong candidate, her chances of defeating Trump are not markedly improved compared to Biden’s.
Additional surveys reflect a diverse range of opinions among Democrats regarding potential replacements for Biden. The Economist and YouGov polls suggest Harris holds a higher net approval rating compared to other potential candidates such as Gavin Newsom and Michelle Obama.
Overall, while Harris has garnered significant support and endorsements, her effectiveness against Trump remains a subject of ongoing analysis and debate.
Pro-Harris Perspective:
Poll Results:
Several polls show that Kamala Harris is a strong contender following Biden’s withdrawal. A Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos poll reveals that 70% of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents would be satisfied with Harris as the nominee. Additionally, Harris performed slightly better than Biden in some state polls, such as in Pennsylvania and Virginia
Public Support:
Harris is reported to have a higher net approval rating among potential Democratic candidates. The Economist and YouGov polls indicate she is well-regarded by many Democrats as a replacement for Biden
Neutral Perspective:
Poll Comparisons:
Polls show minimal difference in performance between Harris and Biden against Donald Trump. For example, a New York Times poll shows Harris and Biden have similar margins against Trump in hypothetical match-ups. This suggests that Harris’ ability to challenge Trump is comparable to Biden’s
Anti-Harris Perspective:
Poll Data:
Despite her endorsements, Harris trails Trump by a slight margin in some polls. For instance, a CNN poll indicates Trump holds a 47% to 45% lead over Harris, which falls within the margin of error. This data suggests that Harris may not significantly improve the Democratic Party’s chances compared to Biden.
Fox Broadcasting Company:
How does Kamala Harris poll against Donald Trump?
Washington Post:
How Kamala Harris performs against Donald Trump in election polls